The Katana Program ended January with a performance of -28.66%.
We witnessed multiple moves from above US$105,000 down to as low as US$89,000. The retracements have been rapid and vicious. Unfortunately the Katana breakout trend following models have sold new lows and bought new highs in anticipation of trend continuance - this did not eventuate multiple times.
Bitcoin trading into month end continued dramatic swings, beginning with a significant high followed by a rapid correction. On the day of the inauguration of Donald Trump as President, Bitcoin touched a new all-time high of $109,000, reflecting a surge in optimism possibly driven by expectations of pro-crypto policies. This peak was quickly followed by a sharp decline, with Bitcoin's price dropping from $106,000 to under $100,000.
Our hybrid Trend and Momentum program Odachi fared better in January with a -13.6% return, and while the momentum algorithms posted approx 4% gain, they were unable to compensate for the Trend following losses.